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2024-12-14 01:47:49

German Chancellor Angela Scholz submitted an application for a vote of confidence, and German Chancellor Angela Scholz sent a request to Parliament on Wednesday to hold a vote of confidence on December 16th, thus paving the way for early federal elections next year. Since the collapse of the coalition of political parties led by Scholz, the policy-making in Europe's largest economy has basically stagnated. If, as expected, Scholz loses the vote of confidence, he must ask the President to dissolve Parliament and hold a new election. Scholz and the opposition parties unanimously agreed to hold a general election on February 23rd next year. Last week, French Prime Minister Banier lost in a vote of no confidence, which highlighted the unusual political instability faced by these two European powers.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.The annual unadjusted food inflation rate in the United States in November was 2.4%, and the previous value was 2.1%. The annual inflation rate of new cars in the United States in November was -0.7%, and the previous value was -1.3%. The annual unadjusted housing inflation rate in the United States in November was 4.7%, and the previous value was 4.9%.


TCL Global Technology Innovation Conference was held in Shenzhen, and on December 11th, TCL Global Technology Innovation Conference was held in Shenzhen, which released 16 technological breakthroughs, including 5 AI applications in all fields and scenarios. In 2024, TCL created economic benefits of 540 million yuan by promoting the implementation of AI applications. (Shenzhen Special Zone Daily)After this year's acquisition frenzy, BlackRock may seek to further expand in the private equity market. The momentum of BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, may continue, because it is expected that the company will seek further expansion in the fields of private credit, real estate, infrastructure or private equity. BlackRock announced last week that it plans to acquire private credit company HPS Investment Partners for about $12 billion, which is BlackRock's third major acquisition this year. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, said that the transaction will enable the two companies to provide the integration of private equity and open market investment products. Financial sources and analysts said that in the future, BlackRock may enhance its influence in the private equity market through further acquisitions. Goals may include expanding private credit or increasing private equity, so that BlackRock can better compete with large enterprises in alternative investment fields.Joshua Benjo, a well-known AI expert: Artificial intelligence may "turn against human beings". According to a report on the website of the American Consumer News and Business Channel on November 21st, Joshua Benjo, a well-known computer scientist, a pioneer of artificial intelligence, warned against the potential negative impact of this emerging technology on society and called for in-depth research to reduce risks. (Reference message)


France urges Israel to withdraw from the Syrian buffer zone.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.Lilly will study whether diet pills can effectively control addictive behaviors. Dave Ricks, CEO of Lilly, said that the company will start to study whether its best-selling diet pills can also effectively control addictive behaviors such as alcoholism, smoking and drug abuse. Ricks said at a meeting that these drugs are "anti-hedonic" and may temporarily make patients get rid of drug dependence. Some doctors have said that this drug can help alleviate drug addiction. Novo Nordisk also said earlier this year that it planned to conduct research on drug addiction.

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